Fantasy Football Believe It or Not: Rookies emerge, bench all your Jaguars until James Robinson returns

In terms of the past few weeks, Week 8 didn’t seem so far-fetched. We only had two teams on a pass, we didn’t have a bunch of catastrophic injuries. We didn’t even have that many busts. If there was a theme, maybe it was a few breakout performances from the rookies. Well that, and the Jets are awesome. and the first Believe It or Not corresponds to these two themes.

Michael Carter to be second-best rookie RB of the rest of the PPR season

The case: No offense to Mike White, this is Carter’s performance that fantasy managers are more likely to believe. It was the second straight week for Carter leading the Jets in targets, and his second in a row with an instant 70% share.

Carter has clearly become the leader in New York City and White’s reliance on his running backs in the passing game makes Carter a go-to and go-to running back in the midst of PPR. It will also make him better than any unnamed rookie running back Najee Harris the rest of the season.

The verdict: Believe it.

So many rookies we’re counting on right now, we really don’t know if we can count on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard and Khalil Herbert have starters returning for their jobs at some point, and Javonte Williams still hasn’t been able to fight Melvin Gordon. In fact, we don’t have much reason to believe it will in the near future.

There remains Carter and Elijah Mitchell, hence the PPR distinction. And that’s a big one. Carter has seen 23 targets in the Jets’ last two games. Mitchell has seen four this season. While there’s no guarantee Carter’s target share will stay high when Zach Wilson returns, we may be a month away from seeing Wilson live. And White’s performance at Week 8 can definitely derail any Joe Flacco startup plan.

Start Carter with confidence in Week 9 against the Colts.

Pat Freiermuth is in the top 12 TEs for the rest of the season

The case: Heading into Monday Night Football, Freiermuth is the No.3 tight end of Week 8 with four catches for 44 yards and one touchdown. It’s a reminder how terrible this position is. Like Carter in Week 7, Freiermuth came out of the bye and played his best game of his short career, including a career-high 78% snap share.

But he wasn’t bad before the bye either, catching his seven Week 6 targets for 58 yards. It’s consecutive weeks with seven goals. And it turns out that those are the two games the team has played without JuJu Smith-Schuster. The rookie tight end is absorbing some of those Smith-Schuster short-zone targets and should see enough volume in the second half to be a starting-caliber tight end.

The verdict: Do not believe it.

I don’t think it’s that hard to find 12 tight ends that you love more than Freiermuth. Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Mark Andrews, George Kittle, Dalton Schultz, TJ Hockenson, Kyle Pitts, and Dallas Goedert all seem like easy choices. I would also take Noah Fant, Mike Gesicki and Dawson Knox when he returns. Logan Thomas shouldn’t be too far away and it’s hard for me to separate Freiermuth from Dan Arnold, Tyler Higbee and a handful of other tight ends.

Freiermuth looks like a good touch-dependent streamer. But considering his team have a game this season with multiple passing touchdowns, there are a lot of other guys I would rather bet on in any given week.

Justin Fields must be universally hidden again

The case: It took a while, but in Week 8 Fields finally started showing flashes of what might make him special as a Fantasy quarterback. The rookie ran for 103 yards and a touchdown, including one of the most exciting runs of the 2021 season. He also completed 70% of his passes and pitched for 175 extra yards and a score.

The 27-point blast ranked him as the No.5 quarterback for Week 8 before Monday Night Football. That performance, and Fields’ potential advantage, should get him back on the fantasy rosters everywhere when we get to the waivers later in the week.

The verdict: Do not believe it.

The simple answer is that the Bears’ three-week outlook goes to the Steelers, goodbye the week, to the Ravens. I don’t think this will be the last chance you have to add fields. If I have an extra spot in the roster after the waiver race, I’m happy to try and hold it for next month, but I’m not making it a priority. You’re probably not going to think about using it until Thanksgiving, against the Lions. And he has to show something against the Steelers or the Ravens to justify that.

Sit all your Jaguars until James Robinson returns

The case: The only bright spot in Jacksonville was Robinson’s play, who left Week 8 with a bruised heel. We don’t know how long Robinson will be out yet, but his departure will only make this offense even more anemic. You should do your best to avoid the whole offense until Robinson returns.

The verdict: Believe it.

Normally, we would rush to the waiver thread to add Carlos Hyde, Robinson’s replacement. And Hyde made six catches in Week 8 after Robinson left. he also made two captures during the season that begins the week. But Hyde was also much less efficient with his touches than Robinson and the Jaguars face Buffalo in Week 9, which makes the idea of ​​starting Hyde even more unsettling. And if you don’t start it, I don’t know why you are using your FAAB to get it back.

The one Jaguar I would be most interested in is Dan Arnold, and even he should sit against the Bills.

About Fredrick Sizemore

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